Seurakuntavaalit 2010
| Tämä sivu on tutkimus.
Sivutunniste: Op_fi2090 |
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| Moderaattori:Jouni (katso kaikki)
Sivun edistymistä ei ole arvioitu. Arvostuksen määrää ei ole arvioitu (ks. peer review). |
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Seurakuntavaalit 2010 on interventiotutkimus, jossa selvitetään sosiaalisen median vaikutusta vuoden 2010 seurakuntavaalien äänestystulokseen eri seurakunnissa.
Tutkimussuunnitelma
Ensimmäinen tutkimussuunnitelman versio on kirjoitettu englanniksi.
Background:
The Finnish Lutheran church organises the election of all congregation councils in 14th November. There has been an active debate about whether the church should bless homosexual partnerships (or even call them "marriage") or not. In addition, there has been an outrage about the opinions of some religious leaders (from a religiously-motivated party, not from the church) who said that homosexualism is a sin. So far, 20000 people have quit the church as protest due to these opinions in two weeks.
Objective:
To find out whether social media can affect the voting behaviour of Finnish people who are against or pro homosexual's right to get a blessing from the church.
Additional, non-scientific objectives:
- To show that social media can be effectively used in supporting societal decision-making
- To activate people to make a difference in a proactive way (instead of acting as protest)
Materials and methods:
This is an intervention study, where 100 congregations (or up to 295 that used the online questionnaire (actually called candidate matcher) ), depending on the amount of people who can be recruited to distribute the material) are selected from Finland and randomly divided into two groups: intervention or control. In the intervention group, social media is used to actively publicise the opinions of the election candidates about this issue. In the control group, no information is released to social media. The opinions of the candidates are received from a national questionnaire, which has asked opinions about e.g. the blessing issue from the election candidates.
The election results will be obtained from a national database, which is openly available in the Internet after the election day.
Statistical analyses:
Poisson regression is used to predict the number of votes each candidate will receive (the dependent variable). The independent variables are:
- backgound number of votes
- candidate's opinion about homosexual partnerships
- intervention status in candidate's congregation
- interaction term of candidate's opinion and intervention.
In an alternative study, the interaction term will be be studied in two parts:
- impact of intervention given that the candidate is against blessing of
homosexual partnerships
- impact of intervention given that the candidate is in support of
blessing of homosexual partnership
